NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

VERMONT

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

18REP

PRESIDENT

18REP

SENATE

18REP

GUBERNATORIAL

VERMONT HAS VOTED FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1992

IT IS SAFELY DEMOCRATIC

IT IS WORTH 3 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

DEMOCRAT

PATRICK LEAHY (INC.)

64.4%

rep

REPUBLICAN

LEN BRITTON

31.0%

dem

INDEPENDENT

DANIEL FREILICH

1.5%

white

MARIJUANA

CRIS ERICSON

1.2%

mar

INDEPENDENT

STEPHEN CAIN

1.0%

white

SOCIALIST

PETER DIAMONDSTONE

0.6%

soc

INDEPENDENT

JOHENRY NUNES

0.4%

white

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

DEMOCRAT

PATRICK LEAHY (INC.)

PREDICTED WINNER

rep

REPUBLICAN

SCOTT MILNE

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

dem

LIBERTY UNION

PETER DIAMONDSTONE

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

liberty

2012 GUBERNATORIAL RESULT

DEMOCRAT

PETER SHUMLIN

46.4%

rep

REPUBLCIAN

SCOTT MILNE

45.1%

rep

LIBERTARIAN

KEN LARSEN

4.4%

lib

INDEPENDENT

EMILY PEYTON

1.6%

white

LIBERTY UNION

PETER DIAMONDSTONE

0.9%

white

VERMONT HAS NO GUBERNATORIAL TERM LIMIT BUT INCUMBENT GOVERNOR PETER SCHUMLIN IN NOT RUNNING FOR A FOURTH TERM. UNLIKE MOST STATES, VERMONT HAS GUBERNATORIAL ELECTIONS EVERY 2 YEARS.

2016 GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES

DEMOCRAT

SUE MINTER

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

PHIL SCOTT

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

rep

LIBERTY UNION

BILL "SPACEMAN" LEE

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

libunion
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
AT-LARGE DEMOCRAT - 2007

N/A

DEM

OTH

DEM (SAFE)