NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

0REGON

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

6REP

PRESIDENT

6REP

SENATE

6REP

GUBERNATORIAL

OREGON HAS VOTED FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1988

IT IS SAFELY DEMOCRATIC

IT IS WORTH 7 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

DEMOCRAT

ROY WYDEN

57.2%

dem

REPUBLICAN

JIM HUFFMAN

39.3%

rep

WORKING FAMILIES

BRUCE CRONK

1.3%

lib

LIBERTARIAN

MARC DELPHINE

1.1%

lib

PROGRESSIVE

RICK STAGGENBORG

1.0%

prog

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

DEMOCRAT

RON WYDEN

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

JOHN HOEVEN

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

rep

WORKING FAMILIES

SHANTI LEWALLEN

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

wf

GREEN/PROGRESSIVE

SHANTI LEWALLEN

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

grn/prog

INDEPENDENT (PARTY)

STEVEN REYNOLDS

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

ind

2014 GUBERNATORIAL RESULT

DEMOCRAT

JOHN KITZHABER (INC.)

49.9%

dem

REPUBLICAN

DENNIS RICHARDSON

44.1%

rep

GREEN

JASON LEVIN

2.0%

grn

LIBERTARIAN

JASON LEVIN

1.5%

lib

CONSTITUTION

AARON AUER

1.1%

con

PROGRESSIVE

CHRIS HENRY

1.0%

prog

OREGON HAS A TERM LIMIT OF 8 YEARS IN ANY GIVEN 12 YEARS; GOVERNOR JOHN KITZHABER RESIGNED IN FEBRUARY OF LAST YEAR AND SO A SPECIAL ELECTION IS BEING RUN THIS YEAR TO COMPLETE JOHN KITZHABER'S ORIGINAL TERM LENGTH

2016 GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES

DEMOCRAT

KATE BROWN (INC.)

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

BUD PIERCE

UNLIKELY TO WIN

rep

LIBERTARIAN

JAMES FOSTER

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib

CONSTITUTION

JAMES FOSTER

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

con

INDEPENDENT (PARTY)

JAMES FOSTER

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

ind
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 DEMOCRAT - 1975

REP - 11%

LIB - 27%

DEM

REP

LIB

DEM (SAFE)

2 REPUBLICAN - 1981

DEM - 22%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

3 DEMOCRAT - 1955

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

4 DEMOCRAT - 1975

REP - 10%

LIB - 29%

GRN - 28%

DEM

REP

LIB

GRN

DEM (SAFE)

5 DEMOCRAT - 1997

REP - 7%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)