NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

NORTH CAROLINA

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

1DEM

PRESIDENT

6REP

SENATE

6REP

GUBERNATORIAL

NORTH CAROLINA HAS VOTED FOR THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1980 EXCEPT IN 2008

IT IS A SWING STATE FAVOURING CLINTON

IT IS WORTH 15 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

REPUBLICAN

RICHARD BURR (INC.)

54.8%

rep

DEMOCRAT

ELAINE MARSHALL

43.1%

dem

LIBERTARIAN

MIKE BEITLER

2.1%

lib

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

REPUBLICAN

MAGGIE HASSAN

PREDICTED WINNER

rep

DEMOCRAT

DEBORAH ROSS

COULD WIN

dem

LIBERTARIAN

SEAN HAUGH

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

dem

2012 GUBERNATORIAL RESULT

REPUBLICAN

PAT MCCRORY

54.7%

rep

DEMOCRAT

WALTER H. DALTON

43.2%

dem

LIBERTARIAN

BARBARA HOWE

2.1%

lib

NORTH CARLONIA HAS A TERM-LIMIT OF TWO TERMS ON GOVERNORS; INCUMBENT GOVERNOR PAT MCCRORY IS RUNNING FOR A SECOND TERM IN OFFICE

2016 GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES

PREDICTED DEM GAIN

DEMOCRAT

ROY COOPER

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

PAT MCCRORY (INC.)

COULD WIN

rep

LIBERTARIAN

LON CECIL

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 DEMOCRAT - 1899

REP - 23%

LIB - 37%

DEM

REP

LIB

DEM (SAFE)

2 REPUBLICAN - 2011

DEM - 9%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

3 REPUBLICAN - 1995

DEM - 18%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

4 DEMOCRAT - 1997

REP - 25%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

5 REPUBLICAN - 1995

DEM - 11%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

6 REPUBLICAN - 1985

DEM - 9%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

7 REPUBLICAN - 2015

DEM - 11%

REP

DEM

REP (LIKELY)

8 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 15%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

9 REPUBLICAN - 1963

DEM - 47%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

10 REPUBLICAN - 1969

DEM - 11%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

11 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 13%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

12 DEMOCRAT - 1943

REP - 25%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

13 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 7%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)