NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

NEW YORK

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

14REP

PRESIDENT

14REP

SENATE

NEW YORK HAS VOTED FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1988

IT IS SAFELY DEMOCRATIC

IT IS WORTH 29 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

DEMOCRAT

CHUCK SHUMER (INC.)

65.4%

dem

REPUBLICAN

JAY TOWNSEND

33.0%

rep

GREEN

COLIA CLARK

1.0%

grn

LIBERTARIAN

RANDY CREDICO

0.6%

lib

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

DEMOCRAT

CHUCK SCHUMER (INC.)

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

WENDY LONG

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

rep

GREEN

ROBIN LAVERNE WILSON

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

grn

LIBERTARIAN

ALEX MERCED

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 REPUBLICAN - 2015

DEM - 5%

REP

DEM

REP (LEAN)

2 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 18%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

3 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 4%

DEM

REP

DEM (LEAN)

4 DEMOCRAT - 1997

REP - 3%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

5 DEMOCRAT - 1993

REP - 40%

GRN - 40%

DEM

REP

GRN

DEM (SAFE)

6 DEMOCRAT - 1983

REP - 36%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

7 DEMOCRAT - 1923

REP - 40%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

8 DEMOCRAT - 1923

REP - 41%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

9 DEMOCRAT - 2013

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

10 DEMOCRAT - 1923

REP - 39%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

11 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 6%

GRN - 25%

REP

DEM

GRN

REP (SAFE)

12 DEMOCRAT - 1961

REP - 29%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

13 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 37%

GRN - 32%

DEM

REP

GRN

DEM (SAFE)

14 DEMOCRAT - 1993

REP - 37%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

15 DEMOCRAT - 1993

REP - 45%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

16 DEMOCRAT - 1949

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

17 DEMOCRAT - 1983

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

18 DEMOCRAT - 1983

REP - 1%

DEM

REP

DEM (LIKELY)

19 REPUBLICAN - 2011

DEM - 15%

REP

DEM

TOSSUP

20 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 11%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

21 REPUBLICAN - 2015

DEM - 10%

GRN - 21%

REP

DEM

GRN

REP (LIKELY)

22 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 37%

REP

DEM

OTH

TOSSUP

23 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 12%

REP

DEM

REP (LIKELY)

24 REPUBLICAN - 2015

DEM - 10%

REP

DEM

TOSSUP

25 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 1%

DEM

REP

DEM (LIKELY)

26 DEMOCRAT - 2011

REP - 17%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

27 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 20%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)