NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

NEW HAMPSHIRE

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

3REP

PRESIDENT

3REP

SENATE

3REP

GUBERNATORIAL

NEW HAMPSHIRE HAS VOTED FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1992 EXCEPT IN 2000

IT IS A SWING STATE CURRENTLY FAVOURING CLINTON

IT IS WORTH 4 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

REPUBLICAN

KELLY AYOTTE

60.2%

rep

DEMOCRAT

PAUL HODES

36.7%

dem

INDEPENDENT

CHRIS BOOTH

2.1%

ind

LIBERTARIAN

KEN BLEVENS

1.1%

lib

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

PREDICTED DEM GAIN

DEMOCRAT

MAGGIE HASSAN

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

KELLY AYOTTE (INC.)

COULD WIN

rep

2012 GUBERNATORIAL RESULT

DEMOCRAT

MAGGIE HASSAN

54.6%

dem

REPUBLICAN

OVIDE LAMONTAGNE

42.5%

rep

LIBERTARIAN

JOHN J. BARBIARZ

2.8%

lib

2014 GUBERNATORIAL RESULT

NEW HAMSHIRE HAS GUBERNATORIAL ELECTIONS EVERY 2 YEARS INSTEAD OF THE USUAL 4

DEMOCRAT

MAGGIE HASSAN (INC.)

52.5%

dem

REPUBLICAN

WALT HAVENSTEIN

47.3%

rep

NEW HAMPSHIRE HAS NO TERM-LIMIT ON GOVERNORS BUT INCUMBENT GOVERNOR MAGGIE HASSAN IS NOT RUNNING FOR A THIRD TERM IN OFFICE AND INSTEAD IS RUNNING FOR U.S. SENATE

2016 GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES

TOO CLOSE TO PREDICT

DEMOCRAT

COLIN VAN OSTERN

COULD WIN

dem

REPUBLICAN

CHRIS SUNUNU

COULD WIN

rep

LIBERTARIAN

MAX ABRAMSON

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 REPUBLICAN - 2015

REP - 2%

DEM

REP

DEM (LEAN GAIN)

2 DEMOCRAT - 2012

REP - 5%

DEM

REP

TOSSUP