NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

MONTANA

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

5DEM

PRESIDENT

5DEM

GUBERNATORIAL

MISSOURI HAS VOTED FOR THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1968 EXCEPT IN 1992

IT IS SAFELY REPUBLICAN

IT IS WORTH 3 ELECTORAL VOTES

2012 GUBERNATORIAL RESULT

DEMOCRAT

STEVE BULLOCK

48.9%

dem

REPUBLICAN

RICK HILL

47.3%

rep

LIBERTARIAN

RON VANDEVENDER

3.8%

lib

INCUMBENT GOVERNOR STEVE BULLCOK CAN (AND WILL) RUN FOR A SECOND TERM IN OFFICE (BUT IS TERM-LIMITED FROM RUNNING FOR A THIRD)

2016 GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES

DEMOCRAT

STEVE BULLOCK (INC.)

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

GREG GIANFORTE

COULD WIN

rep

LIBERTARIAN

TEN DUNLAP

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib

INDEPENDENT

CHRISTOPHER ZARCONE

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

ind
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
AT-LARGE REPUBLICAN - 1997

DEM - 7%

LIB - 26%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (LIKELY)