NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

MISSOURI

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

5DEM

PRESIDENT

5DEM

SENATE

5DEM

GUBERNATORIAL

MISSOURI HAS VOTED FOR THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 2000

IT IS A SWING STATE CURRENTLY FAVOURING TRUMP

IT IS WORTH 10 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

REPUBLICAN

ROY BLUNT

54.2%

rep

DEMOCRAT

ROBIN CARNAHAN

40.6%

dem

LIBERTARIAN

JONATHAN DINE

3.0%

lib

CONSTITUTION

JERRY BECK

2.1%

con

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

REPUBLICAN

ROY BLUNT (INC.)

PREDICTED WINNER

rep

DEMOCRAT

JASON KANDER

COULD WIN

dem

LIBERTARIAN

JONATHAN DINE

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib

GREEN

JONATHAN MCFARLAND

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

grn

CONSTITUTION

FRED RYMAN

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

con

2012 GUBERNATORIAL RESULT

DEMOCRAT

JAY NIXON (INC.)

54.7%

dem

REPUBLICAN

DAVE SPENCE

42.6%

rep

LIBERTARIAN

JIM HIGGINS

2.7%

lib

INCUMBENT GOVERNOR JAY NIXON IS TERM-LIMITED FROM RUNNING FOR A THIRD TERM IN OFFICE

2016 GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES

PREDICTED DEM GAIN

DEMOCRAT

CHRIS KOSTER

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

ERIC GREITENS

UNLIKELY TO WIN

rep

LIBERTARIAN

CISSE W. SPRAGINS

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib

GREEN

DON FITZ

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

grn

INDEPENDENT

LES TURILLI JR.

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

ind
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 DEMOCRAT - 1949

REP - 26%

LIB - 37%

DEM

REP

LIB

DEM (SAFE)

2 REPUBLICAN - 1993

DEM - 16%

LIB - 30%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

3 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 21%

LIB - 32%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (LIKELY)

4 REPUBLICAN - 2011

DEM - 21%

LIB - 31%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

5 DEMOCRAT - 1949

REP - 3%

LIB - 24%

DEM

REP

LIB

DEM (SAFE)

6 REPUBLICAN - 2001

DEM - 19%

LIB - 31%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

7 REPUBLICAN - 1961

DEM - 19%

LIB - 28%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

8 REPUBLICAN - 1981

DEM - 21%

LIB - 32%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)