NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

IOWA

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

5DEM

PRESIDENT

5DEM

SENATE

IOWA HAS VOTED FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1988 EXCEPT IN 2004

IT IS A SWING STATE FAVOURING TRUMP

IT IS WORTH 6 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

REPUBLICAN

CHUCK GRASSLEY (INC.)

64.4%

rep

DEMOCRAT

ROXANNE CONLIN

33.3%

dem

LIBERTARIAN

JOHN HEIDERSCHEIT

2.3%

lib

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

REPUBLICAN

CHUCK GRASSLEY

PREDICTED WINNER

rep

DEMOCRAT

PATTY JUDGE

UNLIKELY TO WIN

dem
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 REPUBLICAN - 2015

DEM - 1%

REP

DEM

DEM (LEAN GAIN)

2 DEMOCRAT - 2007

REP - 3%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

3 REPUBLICAN - 2011

DEM - 5%

LIB - 25%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (LEAN)

4 REPUBLICAN - 1995

DEM - 12%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)