NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

INDIANA

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

5DEM

PRESIDENT

5DEM

SENATE

5DEM

GUBERNATORIAL

INDIANA HAS VOTED FOR THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1968 EXCEPT IN 2008

IT IS SAFELY REPUBLICAN

IT IS WORTH 11 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

REPUBLICAN

DAN COATS

54.6%

rep

DEMOCRAT

BRAD ELLSWORTH

40.0%

dem

LIBERTARIAN

REBECCA SINK-BURRIS

5.4%

lib

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

PREDICTED DEM GAIN

DEMOCRAT

EVAN BAYH

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

TODD YOUNG

COULD WIN

rep

2012 GUBERNATORIAL RESULT

REPUBLICAN

MIKE PENCE

49.7%

rep

DEMOCRAT

JOHN R. GREGG

46.5%

dem

LIBERTARIAN

RUPERT BONEHAM

4.0%

lib

INCUMBENT MIKE PENCE WOULD BE ABLE TO RUN FOR A SECOND TERM (BUT IS TERM-LIMITED FROM RUNNIG FOR A THIRD) BUT IS NOT SEEKING REELECTION DUE TO HIM BEING THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FOR VICE PRESIDENT

2016 GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES

PREDICTED DEM GAIN

DEMOCRAT

JOHN R. GREGG

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

ERIC HOLCOMB

COULD WIN

rep

LIBERTARIAN

REX BELL

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 DEMOCRAT - 1931

LIB - 29%

DEM

LIB

DEM (SAFE)

2 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 10%

LIB - 28%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

3 REPUBLICAN - 2003

DEM - 20%

LIB - 29%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

4 REPUBLICAN - 1995

DEM - 17%

LIB - 33%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

5 REPUBLICAN - 1993

DEM - 17%

LIB - 31%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

6 REPUBLICAN - 1983

DEM - 18%

LIB - 31%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

7 DEMOCRAT - 1931

REP - 6%

LIB - 29%

DEM

REP

LIB

DEM (SAFE)

8 REPUBLICAN - 2011

DEM - 12%

LIB - 28%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (SAFE)

9 REPUBLICAN - 2011

DEM - 14%

LIB - 29%

REP

DEM

LIB

REP (LIKELY)