NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

ILLINOIS

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

8REP

PRESIDENT

8REP

SENATE

ILLINOIS HAS VOTED FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1992

IT IS SAFELY DEMOCRATIC

IT IS WORTH 20 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

REPUBLICAN

MARK KIRK

48.0%

rep

DEMOCRAT

ALEXI GIANNOULIAS

46.4%

dem

GREEN

LEALAN JONES

3.2%

grn

LIBERTARIAN

MICHAEL LABNO

2.4%

lib

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

PREDICTED DEM GAIN

DEMOCRAT

TAMMY DUCKWORTH

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

MARK KIRK (INC.)

COULD WIN

rep

GREEN

SCOTT SUMMERS

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

grn

LIBERTARIAN

KENT MCMILLEN

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

grn
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 DEMOCRAT - 1935

REP - 23%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

2 DEMOCRAT - 1953

REP - 29%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

3 DEMOCRAT - 1975

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

4 DEMOCRAT - 1989

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

5 DEMOCRAT - 1997

REP - 17%

GRN - 29%

DEM

REP

GRN

DEM (SAFE)

6 REPUBLICAN - 1973

DEM - 17%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

7 DEMOCRAT - 1949

REP - 35%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

8 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 6%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

9 DEMOCRAT - 1949

REP - 16%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

10 REPUBLICAN - 2015

DEM - 1%

REP

DEM

DEM (LEAN GAIN)

11 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 3%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

12 REPUBLICAN - 2015

DEM - 5%

REP

DEM

REP (LEAN)

13 REPUBLICAN - 1895

DEM - 9%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

14 REPUBLICAN - 2011

DEM - 15%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

15 REPUBLICAN - 1977

N/A

REP

REP (WALKOVER)

16 REPUBLICAN - 1993

N/A

REP

REP (WALKOVER)

17 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 5%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

18 REPUBLICAN - 1939

DEM - 25%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)