NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

HAWAII

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

11REP

PRESIDENT

11REP

SENATE

HAWAII HAS VOTED FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME EXCEPT IN 1972 AND 1984

IT IS SAFELY DEMOCRATIC

IT IS WORTH 4 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

DEMOCRAT

DANIEL INOUYE (INC.)

74.8%

dem

REPUBLICAN

CAM CAVASSO

21.6%

rep

GREEN

JIM BREWER

2.1%

grn

LIBERTARIAN

LLOYD JEFFREY MALLEN

0.8%

lib

2014 SENATE SPECIAL ELECTION RESULT

DEMOCRAT

BRIAN SCHATZ

69.8%

dem

REPUBLICAN

CAMPBELL CAVASSO

27.7%

rep

LIBERTARIAN

MICHAEL KOKOSKI

2.5%

lib

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

DEMOCRAT

BRIAN SCHATZ

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

REPUBLICAN

JOHN CARROLL

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

rep

LIBERTARIAN

MICHAEL KOKOSKI

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

lib

CONSTITUTION

JOY ALLISON

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

con

INDEPENDENT

JOHN GIUFFRE

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

ind
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 DEMOCRAT - 2010

REP - 2%

LIB - 26%

DEM

REP

LIB

DEM (SAFE)

2 DEMOCRAT - 1971

REP - 30%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)