NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

CALIFORNIA

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

dc

PRESIDENT

CALIFORNIA HAS GONE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1992

IT IS SAFELY DEMOCRATIC

IT IS WORTH 55 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

DEMOCRAT

BARBARA BOXER (INC.)

52.2%

dem

REPUBLICAN

CARLY FIORINA

42.2%

rep

LIBERTARIAN

GAIL LIGHTFOOT

1.8%

lib

PEACE AND FREEDOM

JOHN GRAY

1.4%

paf

GREEN

DUANE ROBERTS

1.2%

grn

AMERICAN INDEPENDENT PARTY

EDWARD NOONAN

1.2%

aip

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

Unlike in the 2010 election, California now uses a "Top-Two Primary" system, where every candidate from every party appears on the same ballot in the primary election. The two with the most votes, regardless of party affiliation, become the two nominees for the senate election. The primaries this year had two Democratic candidates winning the primary and so this seat is a guaranteed hold for the Democrats.

DEMOCRAT

KAMALA HARRIS

PREDICTED WINNER

dem

DEMOCRAT

LORETTA SANCHEZ

UNLIKELY TO WIN

dem
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 11%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

2 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 25%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

3 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 3%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

4 REPUBLICAN - 1993

DEM - 50%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

5 DEMOCRAT - 1949

REP - 38%

REP

DEM

DEM (SAFE)

6 REPUBLICAN - 1975

REP - 23%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

7 DEMOCRAT - 1959

REP - 1%

DEM

REP

DEM (LEAN)

8 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 18%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

9 DEMOCRAT - 1963

REP - 2%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

10 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 6%

REP

DEM

REP (LEAN)

11 DEMOCRAT - 2007

REP - 17%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

12 DEMOCRAT - 1993

N/A

DEM

OTH

DEM (SAFE)

13 DEMOCRAT - 1975

REP - 39%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

14 DEMOCRAT - 1993

REP - 25%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

15 DEMOCRAT - 2001

REP - 20%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

16 DEMOCRAT - 1977

REP - 1%

DEM

REP

DEM (LIKELY)

17 DEMOCRAT - 1991

N/A

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

18 DEMOCRAT - 1983

REP - 18%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

19 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 50%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

20 DEMOCRAT - 1993

REP - 38%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

21 REPUBLICAN - 1981

DEM - 8%

REP

DEM

REP (LEAN)

22 REPUBLICAN - 2003

DEM - 22%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

23 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 25%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

24 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 2%

DEM

REP

DEM (LIKELY)

25 REPUBLICAN - 1993

DEM - 50%

REP

DEM

REP (LEAN)

26 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 1%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

27 DEMOCRAT - 2001

REP - 9%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

28 DEMOCRAT - 2003

REP - 38%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

29 DEMOCRAT - 1957

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

30 DEMOCRAT - 1963

REP - 16%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

31 DEMOCRAT - 2015

REP - 2%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

32 DEMOCRAT - 1975

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

33 DEMOCRAT - 2015

REP - 9%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

34 DEMOCRAT - 1983

N/A

DEM

DEM (SAFE)

35 DEMOCRAT - 1993

REP - 50%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

36 DEMOCRAT - 2001

REP - 4%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

37 DEMOCRAT - 1993

N/A

DEM

DEM (SAFE)

38 DEMOCRAT - 2003

REP - 9%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

39 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 19%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

40 DEMOCRAT - 2013

N/A

DEM

OTH

DEM (SAFE)

41 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 7%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

42 REPUBLICAN - 2003

DEM - 16%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

43 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 21%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

44 DEMOCRAT - 2013

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

45 REPUBLICAN - 1983

DEM - 15%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

46 DEMOCRAT - 2013

N/A

DEM

DEM (WALKOVER)

47 DEMOCRAT - 2003

REP - 21%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

48 REPUBLICAN - 1993

DEM - 14%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

49 REPUBLICAN - 2003

DEM - 10%

REP

DEM

REP (LEAN)

50 REPUBLICAN - 2003

DEM - 21%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

51 DEMOCRAT - 2003

REP - 18%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

52 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 2%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

53 DEMOCRAT - 2003

REP - 9%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)