NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

ARKANSAS

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

dc

PRESIDENT

dc

SENATE

ARKANSAS HAS GONE TO THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 2000

IT IS SAFELY REPUBLICAN

IT IS WORTH 6 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

REPUBLICAN

JOHN BOOZMAN

57.9%

johnmc

DEMOCRAT

BLACNHE LINCOLN (INC.)

37.0%

dem

LIBERTARIAN

TREVOR DROWN

3.2%

lib

GREEN

JOHN GRAY

1.9%

grn

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

REPUBLICAN

JOHN BOOZMAN

PREDICTED WINNER

johnmc

DEMOCRAT

CONNOR ELDRIDGE

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

connore

LIBERTARIAN

FRANK GILBERT

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

ronc
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 REPUBLICAN - 2011

LIB - 29%

REP

LIB

REP (SAFE)

2 REPUBLICAN - 2011

DEM - 4%

LIB - 24%

REP

DEM

LIB

OTH

REP (LIKELY)

3 REPUBLICAN - 1967

LIB - 29%

REP

LIB

REP (SAFE)

4 REPUBLICAN - 2013

LIB - 25%

REP

LIB

REP (SAFE)