NOV 8

US 2016 ELECTION ANALYSIS

ARIZONA

SWING NEEDED TO WIN

dc

PRESIDENT

dc

SENATE

ARIZONA HAS GONE TO THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE EVERY TIME SINCE 1952 EXCEPT IN 1996

IT IS A SWING STATE CURRENTLY FAVOURING TRUMP

IT IS WORTH 11 ELECTORAL VOTES

2010 SENATE RESULT

REPUBLICAN

JOHN MCCAIN (INC.)

59.1%

johnmc

DEMOCRAT

RODNEY GLASSMAN

34.8%

dem

LIBERTARIAN

DAVID NOLAN

4.7%

lib

GREEN

JERRY JOSLYN

1.5%

grn

2016 SENATE CANDIDATES

REPUBLICAN

JOHN MCCAIN (INC.)

PREDICTED WINNER

johnmc

DEMOCRAT

ANN KIRKPATRICK

UNLIKELY TO WIN

ronc

GREEN

GARY SWING

VERY UNLIKELY TO WIN

grn
DISTRICT PARTY IN CONTROL (SINCE) SWING NEEDED TO GAIN WHO'S STANDING PREDICTED WINNER
1 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 3%

LIB - 26%

GRN - 26%

DEM

REP

LIB

GRN

DEM (LEAN)

2 REPUBLICAN - 2015

DEM - 1%

LIB - 25%

GRN - 25%

REP

DEM

LIB

GRN

REP (LIKELY)

3 DEMOCRAT - 2013

LIB - 28%

DEM

LIB

DEM (SAFE)

4 REPUBLICAN - 2013

DEM - 22%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

5 REPUBLICAN - 2011 DEM - 20%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

6 REPUBLICAN - 1995 DEM - 20%

REP

DEM

REP (SAFE)

7 DEMOCRAT - 2003

REP - 37%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)

8 REPUBLICAN - 2013 DEM - 20%

REP

REP (WALKOVER)

9 DEMOCRAT - 2013

REP - 6%

DEM

REP

DEM (SAFE)